- Narrative Research Poll: A majority of Canadians are confident in Prime Minister Carney’s economic leadership
By Andrew Macdonald
- However, two thirds believe that Canada will experience an economic recession in 2025, finds Narrative Research.
- “Canadians largely believe that recent tariffs have resulted in a broken relationship between Canada and the United States,” adds the pollster.
In the run-up to a new Canada-U.S. trade and security deal, Narrative Research asked Canadians across the country for their views of the relationship with the United States, their concerns about a recession, and their level of confidence in Prime Minister Mark Carney’s ability to lead Canada with respect to the economy, explains Narrative.
“Results show that while a majority of Canadians are confident in the Prime Minister’s leadership on matters related to the economy, residents aren’t necessarily thinking that the U.S. trade relationship should be the number one concern,” adds the pollster.
“Indeed, only 28% feel that the most important current economic priority should be to repair our trade relationship with the United States, while six in ten believe the trade relationship between the two countries is broken.”
“Older Canadians, aged 55 and over, are more likely to believe that the trade relationship is broken,” the poll reports.
“Confidence in Prime Minister Carney’s leadership is consistent across the country, with the exception of those living in the Prairie provinces being more likely to be not at all confident (25%), compared with those living in other provinces (19% or less).”
“With a new trade agreement expected within the next two weeks, there is clearly a lot of pressure on Prime Minister Carney to negotiate a fair deal for Canada,” said Narrative Research COO Margaret Chapman.
“However, Canadians aren’t necessarily thinking that the U.S. relationship is key to improving the country’s economic situation,” said Chapman.
“Canadians are clearly concerned about the economy, however, with two thirds feeling that Canada will experience an economic recession in 2025.”
“Men are less likely than women to believe that an economic recession is imminent. Results are otherwise consistent across demographic sub-groups,” finds Narrative.
Results are from an online survey conducted in partnership between Narrative Research and the Logit Group.
The survey was conducted between June 13 and 16, 2025 with 1,231 Canadians, 18 years of age or older from the Logit Group’s online Canadian Omnibus.
Since it was an online poll, a margin of error does not apply to the Narrative Research poll.
